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Stocks in Depth
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Superiority |
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What is the company's advantage? |
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How strong? |
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How sustainable? |
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Financials |
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Accounting Rules |
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Company Reports |
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Reading an Annual Report |
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Income Statement |
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Balance Sheet |
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Financial Ratios |
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Cash Flows |
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Capital Expenditures |
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Currency Markets |
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Acquisitions |
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Company Options |
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Proxy |
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Introduction |
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Details |
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Selected Works |
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RORE |
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Return on retained earnings (RORE) is a crucial component of stock-picking |
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The simple math of the RORE |
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Why the RORE is so important |
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Projections
Part I |
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You're not smarter than Wall Street in projecting near-term earnings |
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That doesn't mean anybody's estimates are accurate |
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Focus on long-term trends |
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Part II |
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Focus on companies with predicatability |
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In predicting the future, begin with the past |
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A simple approach to projections |
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Part III |
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More detail produces more accuracy |
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Determine the implied growth rate |
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Allow yourself some adjustments, usually downward |
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Part IV |
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Why analyze cash flows if projections are based on earnings? |
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Why no mention of the return on equity? |
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Why not just bet on the fastest growing companies since even the "predictable" ones aren't entirely predictable?
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ROI |
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Return on Investment (ROI) is your expected annual return from an investment |
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ROI is based on the expected growth rate and the P/E |
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If you are happy with the ROI, buy the stock; if not, wait |
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Investor Checklist |
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Company |
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Management |
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Stock |
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Decision |
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Checklist |
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Other Considerations |
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Buy the Stock? |
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